RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions:
The Bears have allowed the second-most rushing yards to their opponents this season. David Montgomery will be out until the playoffs, and the Lions are working hard to get a BYE. Dan Campbell might not want to give Gibbs 25 touches, but I think he does. Gibbs goes for 150 yards and 2 TDs.
RB: James Cook, Bills
New England has been awful against the run all season. To wit, they have allowed the 4th most rushing TDs, the 4th most rushing yards, and the 7th highest yards per carry. I can not only see Cook scoring, but it wouldn’t shock me if Ray Davis scores, too.
RB: Bijan Robinson, Falcons
The Giants haven’t let up a ton of rushing TDs, but they have allowed the third most rushing yards to opposing running backs. I can’t imagine that the Falcons are going to want rookie Michael Penix throwing the ball a ton, so look for both Bijan and Tyler Allgeier to be heavily involved. Robinson should have 125 all-purpose yards and a TD.
RB: James Conner, Cardinals
Carolina’s run defense has played better recently, but they still have allowed the most rushing yards, the most TDs, and the most yards per carry to opposing running backs this season. With Trey Benson injured and Demercado on the IR, Conner should have all the touches he can handle. Put him down for 130 yards and at least 1 TD.
RB: Jerome Ford, Browns
With Nick Chubb out for the season, Ford should get about 80% of the touches in the Browns backfield. What makes him an even better start is that this game has a real chance of exploding, as neither defense has been playing well. Ford should have 100 all-purpose yards and a TD.