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NFL Week 11 Picks

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears 1:00 p.m. EST

LAS VEGAS, NV – OCTOBER 09: Jordan Love #10 of the Green Bay Packers gives assignments during an NFL football game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on October 9, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

The 6-3 Packers are coming off a bye to face the 4-5 Bears, a team they have dominated for 30 years. The Bears offense has been abysmal as they look to Passing Game Coordinator Thomas Brown to take over as Offensive Coordinator for Shane Waldron, who was fired earlier this week. Unfortunately, Brown can’t replace an offensive line that just gave up 9 sacks to the New England Patriots. RB D’Andre Swift and the running game must have a big game if the Bears want to stay in this one. They need to take the pressure off a struggling passing game led by QB Caleb Williams. As mentioned, the Packers are coming off a bye, and I expect QB Jordan Love’s groin to be close to 100%. RB Josh Jacobs should have a solid game, and Love should be able to find one of many receivers downfield. The Packer defense should also be 100% with CB Jaire Alexander back. The Packers domination over the Bears continues, 

Score Prediction: Packers 24 – Bears 13

Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions 1:00 p.m. EST

DETROIT, MI – JANUARY 21: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions drops back to pass during an NFL divisional round playoff football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

I am not surprised that the Detroit Lions are at the top of the NFC, but I am surprised that the Jaguars are at the bottom of the AFC. I expected their offense to at least make them close to a .500 team, but they have been a mess, and injuries to QB Trevor Lawrence and WR Christian Kirk have made it worse. Plus, the defense has been just as bad, ranking dead last. The Lions, who are heavy favorites, should have their way with the Jaguars on both sides of the ball. They have scored a combined 94 points over their last two home games, and I think they can score 30 points easily. Look for QB Jarred Goff and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown to connect for at least one touchdown and for RB David Montgomery to rush for 100 yards and a touchdown. 

Score Prediction: Lions 38 – Jaguars 17

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins 1:00 p.m. EST

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – DECEMBER 11: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Miami Dolphins celebrates a touchdown in the third quarter during a game against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium on December 11, 2022 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

The Raiders are coming off a bye to face the Dolphins, who are coming off a big Monday night road win against the Rams. QB Gardner Minshew gets the start, but he faces a challenge vs. a solid Dolphin secondary that just limited Ram receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. The Raider running game isn’t consistent or explosive enough to scare the Dolphin safeties, so the passes should be underneath. TE Brock Bowers is the go-to player and should see a ton of targets. Predicting the Dolphins is a bit tricky. They have enough explosive players to score 30+ points, but they haven’t been consistent enough to have that breakout game. The offense should go through RB De’Von Achane first, as WR Tyreek Hill is dealing with a wrist injury. Despite the differences in talent, I think the Dolphins will win, but the Raiders will keep it somewhat close. 

Score Prediction: Dolphins 27 – Raiders 20

Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots 1:00 p.m. EST

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – FEBRUARY 13: Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams looks to pass during the first half of Super Bowl LVI against the Cincinnati Bengals at SoFi Stadium on February 13, 2022 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Just when you think the Rams are going to get it together and turn their season around, they lay an egg. They couldn’t get much offense going, as they had a difficult time running the football. Their third-down pass protection often breaks down, and QB Matt Stafford has little time to throw the football. They should let RB Kyren Williams lead the way, as the Patriots allow 130 yards per game rushing. Patriots QB Drake Maye is playing much better than I expected, but he faces a problem that many mediocre teams face: a lack of weapons. TE Hunter Henry and RB Rhamondre Stevenson are going to have to lead the way as they are their viable playmakers. I think the Rams will have too much firepower, as either receiver Cooper Kupp or Puka Nacua will make a big play along with Williams. 

Score Prediction: Rams 23 – Patriots 20

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints 1:00 p.m. EST

CLEVELAND, OHIO – NOVEMBER 15: Nick Chubb #24 of the Cleveland Browns runs the ball for a nine-yard rushing touchdown against the Houston Texans during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 15, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)

The 2-win Browns face the 3-7 Saints in a game where both teams’ playoff hopes are extremely slim. The Browns offense did get a shot in the arm with QB Jameis Williams replacing injured QB Deshaun Watson and RB Nick Chubb returning from injury. They struggled in their last outing, but that was against a much better defense in the Chargers. The Saints defense isn’t very good, and I would expect the Browns to be able to move the football. The Saints offense beat the Atlanta Falcons last week with some big plays from QB Derek Carr to WR Marques Valdez-Scantling, but that trend doesn’t seem likely to continue. RB Alvin Kamara can only do so much, and the lack of above-average receiving weapons can be handled by an under-rated Brown’s defense. 

Score Prediction: Browns 23 – Saints 16

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00 p.m. EST

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND, JANUARY 20: Quarterback Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens throws the ball in the AFC Divisional Playoff game against the Houston Texans at M&T Bank Stadium on January 20, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. The Ravens defeated the Texans 34-10. (Photo by Kirby Lee/Getty Images)

A great AFC North Showdown with first place on the line. The Ravens have a solid balance on offense, but I think they need to focus on running the football to slow down the Steelers pass rush. RB Derrick Henry should receive 20 carries, and QB Lamar Jackson needs at least 50 yards on the ground if the Ravens want to win. The Steelers offense looks complete, with QB Russell Wilson finding receivers down the field and aiding to the emergence of WR George Pickens. Their strength is to try and beat the Ravens weak secondary deep, as the Ravens have the number 1 run defense. 

Score Prediction: Steelers 24 – Ravens 23 

Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans 1:00 p.m. EST

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – OCTOBER 29: T.J. Hockenson #87 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a touchdown during the third quarter of a game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on October 29, 2023 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

The 7-2 Minnesota Vikings take on the reeling 2-7 Tennessee Titans. Viking’s QB Sam Darnold will look to get back on track after throwing 5 interceptions in his last two games. WR Justin Jefferson, RB Aaron Jones, and TE T.J. Hockenson lead the charge and will be difficult for the Titan defense to contain. The Titans will have to focus on pass protection as the Vikings pressure the QB as well as anyone. Titan QB Will Levis will have to find WR Calvin Ridley early and often, as RB Tony Pollard should find it difficult running against a formidable Viking run defense. I expect a scrum-type of game.  

Score Prediction: Vikings 24 – Titans 16

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets 1:00 p.m. EST

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 09: Breece Hall #20 of the New York Jets runs against Jerome Baker #55 of the Miami Dolphins during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on October 09, 2022 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Edward Diller/Getty Images)

The Colt’s offense is turning back to Anthony Richardson as starting QB. It’s not the best of spots to bring him back in. On the road at New York, even though the Jets defense struggled vs. Arizona last week. His accuracy issues have been well-documented, and the passing game is most likely going to struggle. I don’t think they can rely on RB Jonathan Taylor to carry the load. The Jets offense should be able to move the football both through the air with QB Aaron Rodgers to WR Garrett Wilson and on the ground with RB Breece Hall. 

Score Prediction: Jets 17 – Colts 10

Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos 4:05 p.m. EST

TAMPA, FL – SEPTEMBER 22: Bo Nix #10 of the Denver Broncos celebrates after a touchdown during the first quarter of an NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

The Falcons must be reeling a bit after that loss in New Orleans as they outplayed the Saints. Three missed field goals and a late 4th quarter interception sealed their fate. They have been relying heavily on RB Bijan Robinson in both the running and passing game, plus receivers Darnell Mooney and Drake London have been excellent. I have a feeling that they are in a letdown spot, though. The Falcons haven’t played a strong defense in a long time, and they may get shell-shocked if the Denver defense can punch them in the mouth. If Atlanta struggles to run the ball, I can envision Kirk Cousins getting sacked several times because Denver can take his first read away, creating time to get to the quarterback. Denver must also be reeling as they had the undefeated Chiefs beaten but lost on a field goal block to end the game. I do like what I am seeing from QB Bo Nix as he may not be throwing for huge numbers, but he has been efficient and rarely turns the ball over. I think his confidence is growing and Atlanta is a team he can throw against.  

Score Prediction: Falcons 27 – Broncos 23

Seatle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers 4:05 p.m. EST

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – SEPTEMBER 12: Geno Smith #7 of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates during the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Lumen Field on September 12, 2022 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Seattle is another team coming off the bye, which was much needed as they get their best WR, D.K. Metcalf, back in full swing. Unfortunately, this is not the best matchup for Seattle. The 49ers have a top-10 run defense that should limit the Seahawk running game, forcing QB Geno Smith into passing situations. I like the Seattle receivers, but I do not like the pass protection as Geno often is running for his life. If he can get time, then I think he can expose the 49ers secondary, but that is a big if. I think the 49ers offense is ready to explode now that they are as healthy as they are going to be. Why not against Seattle? The Seahawks don’t excel at anything on defense, and I think the 49ers can do what they want. Look for big games from both RB Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy. 

Score Prediction: 49ers 34 – Seahawks 24

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills 4:25 p.m. EST

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – DECEMBER 24: James Cook #28 and Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills celebrate a touchdown during the second half in the game against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on December 24, 2022 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images)

A much-anticipated game as these two teams always seem to meet each other every season in a big game. The Chiefs are undefeated but are led by a top 5 defense and a QB who finds a way to win when it counts. Buffalo’s defense is no slouch, but I think the Chiefs can run on them with RB Kareem Hunt and find TE Travis Kelce when it counts. The Bills are led by a solid defense and QB Josh Allen. Unfortunately, their better weapons are banged up as WR Amari Cooper is dealing with a wrist injury, and TE Dalton Kincaid is dealing with a knee injury.  I think both teams will struggle at times to move the ball in a low-scoring game, but I must pick QB Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs. Sure, the Bills could win but you will lose more times than not going against the Chiefs in a big game. I have learned my lesson. 

Score Prediction: Chiefs 20 – Bills 17

Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers 8:20 p.m. EST

CINCINNATI, OHIO – SEPTEMBER 30: Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Paul Brown Stadium on September 30, 2021 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)


The 4-6 Bengals look to shake off some tough losses to take on the vastly improved 6-3 Chargers. Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase look to get the desperate Bengals back on track and into the playoff race. The Chargers are led by QB Justin Herbert as they continue to pursue their stranglehold on a Wild Card Spot.

Score Prediction: Bengals 27 – Chargers 20

Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys: Monday 8:15 p.m. EST

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 10: C.J. Stroud #7 of the Houston Texans attempts a pass against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 10, 2023 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

The AFC South-leading Texans invade Dallas, led by QB C.J. Stroud and RB Joe Mixon. They look to get back on track after losing a heartbreaker to the Detroit Lions. It is expected that star WR Nico Collins will play, giving the Texans more firepower that they desperately need if they plan to go far. The struggling 3-6 Dallas Cowboys have lost four games in a row and desperately seeking a win. They will need WR CeeDee Lamb and QB Cooper Rush to have huge games to have a chance in this one.

Score Prediction: Texans 30 – Cowboys 17