He is a two-time MVP, and possibly three time if he wins the award this season, but MVP trophies don’t translate to Super Bowl wins. Here is a breakdown of Lamar’s chances to ever raise the Lombardi Trophy:
Lamar simply doesn’t have the playoff clutch gene
When looking at the great playoff quarterbacks in the NFL right now, what do they all have in common? They sustain clutch play throughout the game, while Lamar still has moments in the playoffs, but he seems to crumble for the most part when it matters most. In Lamar’s playoff career, he has 10 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, a 60% completion percentage and he has an 84.6 passer rating. These stats are nothing compared to his regular season self, where he has gathered 2 MVPs and has a case for a third.
The Ravens play style doesn’t translate as well against great teams
The Ravens have always been the type of team that wants to run the ball and control the clock, however in the playoffs, when teams sell out for the run and scheme up how to stop it. They are able to do this because they want to test Lamar’s arm, nobody will deny that he has good arm talent, but he is just far too inconsistent for teams to worry about it. This strategy has greatly worked as the Ravens have just a 3-5 playoff record in 8 games, despite being one of the best regular season teams in the NFL every single season.
The AFC is just too crowded
It is clear as day that the AFC is just a better conference than the NFC, getting to the Super Bowl in the AFC means you have to go through top-tier quarterbacks like Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Stroud, and Herbert. Having such elite quarterbacks in one conference makes it significantly more difficult to get to the Super Bowl, let alone win it. Jackson simply is a worse playoff performer than all of those guys he will have to go through, and until he shows he can beat multiple teams in one postseason, it will be nearly impossible for him to win.
Conclusion
In short, no, I do not believe Lamar Jackson will ever win a Super Bowl, he has been there so often and has not shown that he has enough to make it all the way. Last year was the closest he will ever get to playing in the Superbowl, but like always he was bested by Mahomes.