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Dr. Roto's Daily Prescriptions

Dr. Roto’s Daily Prescription 8/28: Don’t Wait for ADP

Dr. Roto explains why it is crucial for fantasy managers in this time of year to not worry too much about ADP in their drafts.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - AUGUST 24: Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers dives for a touchdown during the first quarter of a preseason game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on August 24, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

I always encourage fantasy football managers to draft as early as possible because it allows them the best opportunity to use ADP to their advantage. About two months ago players like Steelers RB Jaylen Warren and Broncos WR Marvin Mims were going two rounds later than they are right now. But now fantasy managers can’t think that way. Between preseason and injuries, ADP changes constantly and old values get thrown out the window.

In a Beat Dr. Roto draft that I did on Sunday, Warren went in Round 8 and Mims in Round 10. I was texting with one of my buddies who was in the draft and he said that he couldn’t believe that Warren went so early considering he was getting him later just a couple of months ago. I told him that the team who took Warren had drafted Najee Harris in Round 3 and probably thought that Warren was never going to make it back to him. The hype train on Warren has been excessive in the last few weeks based mainly off his great performances in the preseason.

When I took Mims in Round 10 my friend texted me that I made the right pick. I wrote back to him and said that I was used to taking Mims in Round 12 but now that Jeudy could be out for a while Mims jumped immediately into the conversation of a Round 9-11 pick. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him go as high as Round 9 as we get closer to Labor Day.

What this means to fantasy football managers is that this is the time of the year when value dries up, so don’t sit around and look at ADP and think that players are going to be there. Be aggressive and get your players! not wo