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NFL: Fantasy Football Pace of Play Week 12: Games to Target and Avoid

Justin Jaksa

Published

November 23, 2024

MIAMI GARDENS, FL – AUGUST 17: A detail shot of an NFL shield logo painted on the field prior to an NFL preseason football game between the Miami Dolphins and the Washington Commanders at Hard Rock Stadium on August 17, 2024 in Miami Gardens, FL. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

Fastest Paced Games

#1 – Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – SEPTEMBER 07: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions celebrates their 21-20 win over the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on September 07, 2023 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

After seeing the Browns beat the Steelers in the first snow game of the year, we are going to go to the comfy controlled elements of the dome in Indy as this game comes in with the second fastest adjusted pace time (28.0) and 4th fastest average of neutral seconds per snap (27.1). The Lions are clicking offensively in all facets, coming off putting a 50 burger on the Jaguars last week, a game in which they piled up 76 offensive snaps. They have been playing much faster over the last month and project for the 3rd most plays this week (65.3). They are 1st in points per game (33.6), 3rd in yards per game (394.7) and 4th in red zone conversion percentage (68.3%). They have an implied point total of 29.25 this week. The Colts are 3rd fastest in neutral pace and seconds/snap (25.4), coming off a week where they ran 67 offensive plays. This game has an O/U point total of 50.5.

#2 – Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

LANDOVER, MARYLAND – OCTOBER 06: Jayden Daniels #5 of the Washington Commanders rushes against the Cleveland Browns at Northwest Stadium on October 06, 2024 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

These two teams have the fastest average adjusted pace time (28.1) and an average of neutral seconds per snap (25.0). The Cowboys are the fastest in seconds/snap (23.8), 2nd plays/gm (65), 3rd in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (66.5%), 1st in Pass Percentage (67.2%) and 11th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (12%). The Commanders are 9th fastest in seconds/snap (27.3), 2nd in total plays (687) and numero uno in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (63.2%). They have the 2nd highest implied points total on the slate (27.5). This game has the best combined passing matchups according to DVOA pass offense vs DVOA pass defense.

#3 – Tampa Bay Bucs at New York Giants

TAMPA, FLORIDA – DECEMBER 31: Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers throws a pass during the fourth quarter against the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium on December 31, 2023 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

Arizona at Seattle looks pretty good to be played at a good pace, but since rain is expected in that one, it will pivot to Bucs at Giants, which has the 2nd fastest average of neutral seconds per snap (26.6). The Bucs are 12th in plays/game (61.3), 6th in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (61.9%) and 8th in Pass Percentage (59.3%). They are converting 68.4% of their red zone possessions, the 3rd best in the NFL. The Giants are 4th in plays/gm (64.0), and they register just above league average in Seconds/Snap (27.4), Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (53.7%), Pass Percentage (58.3%), and Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (11.2%). This game is the 5th best combined passing matchup according to DVOA pass offense vs DVOA pass defense.

Slowest Paced Games

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

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