#1 – Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers
The teams’ combined adjusted pace is 27.3 seconds, the fastest of all weekly matchups. Dallas comes in the fastest at time between plays at 33.3 seconds. The Cowboys are 7th in total plays run (247), 11th in plays run per game (61), 4th in passing plays/game (40.5), and are the fastest in seconds per snap (24.3). They are also 4th in Pass Percentage + Pass Rate Over Expected (65.6%) and have run the 11th most Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage at 11%. Dallas has a pass rate of 67% with a run rate of 32%. The Steelers are 7th in total plays run (257), 6th in plays/game (63.5) and have run the 6th most Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage at 15%.
DETROIT, MICHIGAN – APRIL 25: Jayden Daniels poses with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected second overall by the Washington Commanders during the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza on April 25, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
#2 – Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders
The Browns are not scoring points, but they continue to play at an up-tempo pace, coming in with the 4th fastest time between plays at 35.8 seconds. They are also the 5th fastest in seconds per snap at 26.0, running the 9th most plays (255). They are 2nd in Pass Percentage per game at 65.5% and Pass Percentage + Pass Rate Over Expected at 69%. Cleveland has a pass rate of 72% with a run rate of 27%. The Commanders are 11th in Adjusted pace at 29.5 and run the most Non-Two Minute No Huddle at 54.8%. Washington comes in as one of the most efficient offenses in football, scoring 30.3 Points per game and 410 Yards per game, both 3rd best. The Commanders defense, however, has been awful. The Cleveland offenses get the absolute best matchup for opposing QBs and WRs, and it’s also a top-10 matchup for RBs!
DETROIT, MICHIGAN – APRIL 25: (L-R) Caleb Williams poses with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected first overall by the Chicago Bears during the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza on April 25, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
#3 – Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears
The Panthers come in with the 6th fastest seconds per snap at 26.5, while the Bears are 4th fastest at 25.9, which means we will get a lot of plays run in this one. The Bears are 6th in total plays run (257) and 7th in plays per game (63.0). Both teams are above league average in Pass Percentage per game, with the Panthers at 59.3%, which has been rising with Andy Dalton playing Quarterback, while the Bears are at 61.1%, the 8th highest in the league. The Panthers are throwing it nearly 39 times per game with Dalton, while the Bears are at nearly 40, which is an extremely high passing rate. The two teams’ Pass Percentage + Pass Rate Over Expected is a combined 58%. The Bears have a pass rate of 64%, with a run rate of 35% and come in running the second most Non-Two Minute No Huddle at 25.2%. Conversely, the Panthers have a pass rate of 63% with a run rate of 36%. Chicago faces a struggling Panthers defense that is a top 5 matchup for opposing QBs, RBs, and WRs!
