QB:
Kyler Murray, Cardinals
Every quarterback has feasted on the Commanders horrible secondary, and Murray gets his chance in Week 4. Michael Davis is no match for Marvin Harrison, Jr., and Michael Wilson thrives against the type of zone coverage that Washington likes to play. Murray has looked more confident this season than he has in years. Lock him in for 260+ passing yards and two passing TDs. He might even get a rushing TD as well.
C.J. Stroud, Texans
Jacksonville plays a ton of man coverage which feeds right into the skills of Stefon Diggs and Nico Collins. Both receivers should have tons of separation and with Stroud having more time to throw than he did against Minnesota, it’s likely that he will pick them apart to the tune of 300 passing yards. Additionally, Joe Mixon is expected to miss Week 4 which should mean that Houston will rely on Stroud’s arm more than usual.
Baker Mayfield, Bucs
Call this a hunch or call it that things always seem to regress to the mean, but the NFL always surprises us when we least expect it. Baker and the Bucs put up a sinker at home against Denver which means that things will correct against Philadelphia. The likely reason that Tampa lost last week was that they were coming off a big road win against Detroit and didn’t take the week of practice seriously. That won’t happen this week, as Tampa will be firing against Philadelphia. Bucky Irving is likely to miss the game as well, so look for Baker to throw a bit more than many expect. I think he’s got a real chance for 250 passing yards and two TDs.
Honorable Mention: Jayden Daniels, Trevor Lawrence
RB:
Kyren Williams, Rams
Chicago loves to play bend but don’t break defense and keep the game in front of them. However, it’s been their defensive line that has struggled, giving up chunk yards and four rushing TDs (tied for third worst in the league). Sean McVay knows that he needs to keep the Bears offense off the field and wants to control the time of possession. Williams should be a lock for 20-25 carries and should end up with 100+ total yards from scrimmage and a TD.
Najee Harris, Steelers
As of right now, Jaylen Warren is highly questionable to play, making Harris a candidate for 20+ touches. Indianapolis has given up the most rushing yards in the league this season, and we all know how much Steelers OC Arthur Smith wants to run the football. Start Harris with confidence this week, but also throw a few bucks on Cordarelle Patterson with an anytime TD. Both plays might just pay off Visionary Style!
Brian Robinson, Jr., Commanders
Austin Ekeler has already been ruled out, which should give Robinson a great opportunity to be the only Commander RB to get a touch in the backfield. Don’t underestimate his hands either—he could have five or six receptions, especially if they are playing from behind. He’s a core play in all my DFS lineups.
Honorable Mention: Aaron Jones, Zack Moss